The Great Wall Street
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A Note to Readers
Through December, I was planning 2026 for The Great Wall Street. Collaborations with other writers to bring perspectives beyond my own. New pieces I was…
Dec 31, 2025
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The Great Wall Street
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The Pinduoduo Paradox
Three surprises in two weeks that change how I think about PDD
Dec 23, 2025
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The Wrong Question: Is AI a Bubble?
How to Position for the Inevitable Volatility. A framework for investing in AI.
Dec 18, 2025
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The Great Wall Street
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A 1x EV Business With a 50% Payout. Did It Just Bottom?
The company just restarted buybacks and signaled its decline may be over—while nobody was looking.
Dec 11, 2025
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The Great Wall Street
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On watering the weeds and cutting the flowers
A contrarian strategy for a broken market
Dec 9, 2025
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A User Manual for the Wrong Readers
Why You Shouldn’t Read This Substack
Dec 4, 2025
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November 2025
Didi Q3 2025 Earnings - Worse Than Feared
The concerns I raised before turned out worse than I expected.
Nov 29, 2025
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PDD Q3 2025: The Earnings and the Long-Tail Risk I Was Missing
The only company talking risks while rivals sell fantasies.
Nov 20, 2025
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Tencent's Silent Encirclement
How Pony Ma's 2022 pivot positioned Tencent to dominate commerce in an AI-agent world
Nov 15, 2025
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How Alibaba’s Amap Beat Baidu Maps
And why Alibaba is now using it to challenge Meituan’s dominance in local commerce.
Nov 6, 2025
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October 2025
Didi: A Great Business That Still Leaves Me Uneasy
Strong fundamentals, lingering doubts.
Oct 30, 2025
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AI Capex Warnings: Separating Signal from Noise in Tech's Biggest Bet
How to Tell Which Companies Are Actually Burning Cash
Oct 22, 2025
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